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Initial Thoughts On 2010 Election Results

by: WeatherDem

Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 07:37:50 AM MST


Well, we know most of this year's election results.  Some of those results are good and some aren't so good.  Here are some initial thoughts I have this morning.

Governor
John Hickenlooper is our next Governor, despite running a fairly lackluster campaign and never really developing an image.  My hope is Hick doesn't take his base for granted in the same way that, unfortunately, Gov. Ritter did.  But just as was the case for President Obama, one of the most overlooked aspects of executives is who they put into power around them.  I don't think enough of Obama's economic advisers have average Americans' best interests in mind.  I don't have any idea of who Hickenlooper will put into place around him, but those personnel choices will be critical in the kind of governing he will do.  I'll talk more about him as I bring up other races below.

Blue Dogs
Rep. John Salazar was beat by his last opponent, Scott Tipton.  Salazar was an alright Dem based on his overall voting pattern, but he did vote against key legislative items (global warming bill being the largest in my mind).  More importantly, he chose to publicly rebuke his party.  Overall, I'm not going to miss him very much.

Rep. Betsy Markey lost by a wide margin last night.  This is a Dem Rep. I will miss, association with the Blue Dog caucus notwithstanding.  Contrary to Salazar, she actually voted to do something about global warming and more importantly, she decided to show some real courage by defending her vote.  She took the time to explain to her CO-04 constituents why that vote, and others she took, were important to them.  The right-wing Denver Post editorial board took her to task for being "too liberal for her district".  I won't hold my breath waiting for them to take Cory Gardner to task for being "too conservative for his district".  This seat was high on the Republican Teabagger hit list and could be characterized as a lost cause in a right-wing wave election.  Hopefully a Democratic wave election hits again soon.

CO-07
Rep. Perlmutter won re-election, which I find interesting.  The 7th is a district that is up for grabs and the fact that he held his seat in a wave election speaks volumes about his campaign effort.

TABOR Measures
Thankfully, 60, 61, and 101 lost big time - between 2:1 and 3:1.  In context of the other races, this means a lot of Unaffiliateds and Republicans voted against the measures along with Democrats.  These measures would have destroyed Colorado's economy.  We at least have a chance to still save most of it, if we're willing to have honest discussions about the importance of investing in ourselves and our state.

WeatherDem :: Initial Thoughts On 2010 Election Results
State-Level
Scott Gessler leads Secretary of State Bernie Buescher 50-43 with some precincts left to count this morning.  This is one of the most important offices in the state and it's going back into Republican Teabagger hands.  With a lackluster Senate and Governor race and a Republican Teabagger wave, the low-profile Secretary of State race didn't break our way.

State Treasurer Cary Kennedy is losing fairly narrowly to Walker Stapleton who thinks that not ever working in a field is essential to getting a job in that field.  Another Republican Teabagger in a statewide office, likely as a result of a wave election.

And the trifecta could be won: State Attorney General John Suthers, who enjoys wasting state taxpayer dollars on frivolous lawsuits, is in line to beat Stan Garnett.  Hopefully 2014 has different results in store for Democrats.

State Legislature
Republican Teabaggers won back control of the State House but the State Senate remained in Democratic hands.  This is one area of concern I have with a Governor Hickenlooper.  I fear we're going to hear too many Teabagger demands that the Gov. yield to their insane policies.  How firm will Hickenlooper be in fighting for his base and Coloradans' best interests?  How interested will he be in following the Obama model of pre-negotiation and capitulation in the face of adversity?  He did have a good record being the Mayor of Denver, but Colorado isn't Denver.  More on Hick a little later.  Democrats need to gain control of the State House back in 2012.

Amendments
Personhood part deux goes down in absolute flames again 70-30.  Do not expect that result, however, to mean the anti-woman forces to stop their crusade to expand government into people's bedrooms and medical decisions.

Amendment 63, the symbolic effort to ... well, I never was sure what this one would do, but it's failing 53-47.  Nothing would have changed with respect to the federal health care laws.

Games of chance (P) and real property tax exemption (R) both lost by 2:1 margins.  Temporary seat of government won.

Nearby Results
Colorado looks like an island of blue in a blood-red sea.  The closest states with Democratic Governors are California and Arkansas.  Neighboring states elected Republican Teabagger after Teabagger.  Again, Gov.-elect Hickenlooper is going to have to work with these other Governors to maintain and establish regional efforts.  How will these folks treat water issues, energy issues and immigration issues, to name just a few?  What will Hickenlooper's approach be with the asylum's residents running shows around him?  What kind of results can we expect?  A relative slow-down of otherwise destructive regional policies?  Can we convince his fellows, in an environment which saw 10 Governorships change parties, to make the hard decisions that need to be made to drive this country further into the 21st century or will Colorado be forced back into the 1750s?

Senate
Lastly, the Denver Post called the CO Senate race for Michael Bennet within the last half-hour.  I'm quite surprised by this result because of the factors I've discussed above.  I have to sort out my thoughts on what a Bennet win means in context.  I'm glad Ken Buck won't be our next Senator, due mostly to his absolutely ridiculous extremist views on nearly every subject.  But I'm not exactly thrilled Sen. Bennet won the race.  I don't think he respects or listens to his base.  He isn't the environmental champion that too many Democratic groups and supporters say he is.  I'll bring up the most important issue facing Michael Bennet in a separate diary.

#####

So those are some of my thoughts.  It's more of a laundry list, I suppose, sprinkled with opinions.  What do other SquareStaters think?  Share your comments or, even better, write your own diaries.  What do we as Democrats need to do moving forward into 2011 and the big 2012?

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Good post. I think Benett won because
Buck is, in fact, crazy. All the money in the world doesn't help that.

Hey, would you shoot me an e-mail at billmcclair@comcast.net? I want to talk to you about something but it is better to do it off line.  

Getting Democrats together and keeping them that way is like herding cats that are high on meth, through L.A., during an earthquake, in the rain.  


Does this mean there'll be a special election for Mayor?


Don't know
I thought about the now open Denver Mayor position a couple weeks ago, but never brought it up.  I'm not sure what's going to happen yet.  Does anyone else?

[ Parent ]
Yes, There Will Be a Speiocal Election in Denver
Most likely it will be in May, following Hickenlooper's resignation in January.  Hickenlooper has said that he would not impose a $160,000 cost of a special election during the campaign and is unlikely to resign before the 160 day period prior to the next Denver election.  The 4 month vacancy will filled by Deputy Mayor Bill Vidal who will serve until a mayor is elected.  

There are a number of people vying for the slot, and more information will be forthcoming on that front very soon.  


[ Parent ]
Yes, There Will Be a Speiocal Election in Denver
Most likely it will be in May, following Hickenlooper's resignation in January.  Hickenlooper has said that he would not impose a $160,000 cost of a special election during the campaign and is unlikely to resign before the 160 day period prior to the next Denver election.  The 4 month vacancy will filled by Deputy Mayor Bill Vidal who will serve until a mayor is elected.  

There are a number of people vying for the slot, and more information will be forthcoming on that front very soon.  


[ Parent ]
So I was reading up on this
and when Hickenlooper resigns in January, Bill Vidal will become interim mayor and can serve the remainder of Hick's term until it ends in July. No need for a special election at all.

It looks to me like that'll be the way it plays out.


[ Parent ]
You Are Correct
And, I stand corrected on this.  The only fly in the ointment would be whether Hickenlooper resigns earlier than his inauguration which is within the 160 day window to the next county general election.  I don't think he will because of the cost it would impose on our city.

[ Parent ]
The Dems lucked out.
They held on to the governorship and U.S. Senate seat only by default, with two anemic and message-less Democratic candidates in those races. If the GOP had managed to put up semi-reasonable, semi-competent candidates in those races, the Dems would have lost those seats.

Having the insane referendum questions on the ballot probably also helped the Dems by turning out the sporadic "Are you freakin' nuts?" vote.

------------------------------
"Honestly, I think we should just trust our president in every decision that he makes and we should just support that." --- Britney Spears, September 2003


I Don't Think tghe Hold Was "By Default"
There was a lot of work on the part of innumerable volunteers to get the voters to the polls and to insure a strong down ballot vote.  Once we have completed analysis, we will know just how effective was this effort. It certaintly wasn't strong enough to retain Cary Kennedy, ernie Buescher or Jean Labudda.

[ Parent ]
Straight from Gov.-elect Hickenlooper
From an email blast sent today:

Starting today, we set aside our differences and work together to rebuild hope in our state and get our economy back on track. That's what our friends and neighbors need. That's what Colorado needs.

[...]

Today, I'm proud to announce Lieutenant Governor-elect Joe Garcia and entrepreneur John Huggins will lead Partners for Colorado, the transition team to the Governor's office.

Over the next few months, the Partners for Colorado team will engage a diverse group of people to recruit and evaluate candidates to run each major department in state government.

[...]

We will hold eight public transition meetings on Nov. 13th and 20th in Greeley, Lamar, Pueblo, Alamosa, Durango, Grand Junction, Colorado Springs, and Breckenridge.

It should be obvious that I wouldn't agree with how Hick starts this email.  Gov.-elect Hickenlooper, do you really think that Republican Teabaggers want to work with you or other Democrats?  Even if there are a few, is it worth chasing them down?  I say this respectfully - what you need to do is determine the course of action most likely to lead this state into the 21st century and then push hard for it.  Let the Teabaggers try to hold us back - it will set up a contrast that will be visible to voters in 2012 and 2014.

It's good to see this approach to filling departments.  On the surface, it seems like it would minimize potential cronyism and backroom deal-making.  We have the next few months to make a determination whether that and other goals have been met.

It's not a bad idea to hold meetings across the state.  It does seem, however, that Hick is trying early to minimize the perception that the Denver area rules the state.  I'm all for every corner of this state getting input into this process.  But it would be unwise to ignore the population center of the state.  We have real needs, just like more rural folks do.


I word.
Redistricting.

More like About 107 Words
One for each legislative and Congressional district

[ Parent ]
Bennet won
Because Romanoff and his supporters--for the most part--finally got on board towards the end and voted for him. Bennet isn't perfect, but having a Sen. Buck wouldn't have made up for Romanoff's loss in the primary.

Now it's your job to hold him accountable. Write and e-mail, and do everything constituents are supposed to do. There's no election to worry about, we have the seat for 6 years. Now you can say anything you want about him without anyone accusing you of costing the Dems the seat. If, after the end of his term he doesn't do a good enough job in your eyes, there's always another primary. Only this time, the "faux incumbent" tag won't be true.


Bennet won b/c
most people primarily didn't want Buck in office.  That's a far cry from having strong support.  The issue in the general had absolutely nothing to do with Romanoff.  It was about Bennet, Buck and a host of smaller visibility candidates.  People made the decisions they made and we'll see how the next 6 years turns out.

A primary disadvantage of Sen. Bennet was his accountability.  Also, few of us sat on our hands and didn't try to engage Sen. Bennet on every occasion possible.  It wasn't for lack of trying that many Democrats felt disaffected.

As I wrote in the lead-up to the election, Sens. Bennet and Udall have a prime opportunity come the first day of business in January to show us how serious they are about governing instead of protecting archaic and ineffectual Senate procedures.  How aggressively they pursue restoring the filibuster back to reasonable standards will go a long way in determining what gets done in the next 2 years.  If they would rather keep the undemocratic version around and continue to use a b.s. '60-vote threshold' excuse to explain why things just can't get passed in the 112th, that's certainly their prerogative.  I just won't be one who accepts such excuses.


[ Parent ]
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