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Poll: Romanoff and Bennet now even

by: wade norris

Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 01:41:39 AM MST


Recent polling shows Bennet has lost almost a 20 point lead in the past 2 months.

Political Consultant Eric Sondermann says that Bennet is now officially "scrambling".

http://ultimatepolitics.net/20...

Romanoff and Bennet are about even - 48 percent to 45 percent, respectively - in the poll of 536 Democrats who have voted or are likely to vote in the Aug. 10 primary. The question has a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.
wade norris :: Poll: Romanoff and Bennet now even
And....

Billie Young, of Pueblo is voting for Romanoff because she didn't receive a response from Bennet's local office when she called for help. "If he can't take care of his locals, why would we want to vote for him to take care of the whole state?" Young said.

Might as well add this from a latest poll on July 27
This poll - republican leaning or not - shows the following

Fifteen percent (15%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Bennet, the Denver school superintendent who was named to the Senate last year when Ken Salazar became secretary of the Interior. But 35% view him Very Unfavorably.

Romanoff earns Very Favorables of 20% and Very Unfavorables of 21%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

My math may not be the best, but a 35% unfavorable rating for Bennet is definitely worse than a 21% rating for Romanoff -
even if this is a republican leaning poll.

And as people in this diary from Colorado Pols
http://www.coloradopols.com/di...
have discussed, it is time to start planning for the reality that Romanoff will win this primary,
and focusing on keeping this seat in Democratic hands.

Your thoughts?

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NOW IT IS UP TO YOU,
noble signwaver. YOU can sway this election.

HAVE YOU DONE ENOUGH FOR YOUR CANDIDATE? Has your campaign paid you enough in gas money to go to the key districts to do visibility and/or communicate to the present (Democratic) swing votes?


Romanoff 48, Bennet 45
If it were 48-45 in Bennet's favor, the Post would say that Bennet is 3 points up. But with Romanoff up by 3, the Post says they're "even" due the margin of error.

So, gee, speaking of scrambling, do you think BennetShills will update "the Big Line"? I dunno, it takes a lot of time and a lot of fancy cipherin' to recalibrate the complex algorithms they use to calculate those "odds."  And remember, these people are professional third-rate hacks, so don't try this at home.

 

------------------------------
"Honestly, I think we should just trust our president in every decision that he makes and we should just support that." --- Britney Spears, September 2003


i know, i did not actually catch that
Romanoff was leading until i saw the 9news story.

Andrew Romanoff has made up a 17-point deficit in a month to take the lead over Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colorado) in a 9NEWS/Denver Post Survey USA Poll conducted late last week.


[ Parent ]
About the reliability of polls
This one looks good for Romanoff, but remember that there are a lot of weird variables in this election, so we really don't know how accurate any of these polls really are until the actual ballots are cast/mailed and counted.

------------------------------
"Honestly, I think we should just trust our president in every decision that he makes and we should just support that." --- Britney Spears, September 2003


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