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by: johne

11/26/08 @ 12:14:41 PM MST


The other day I got some of the turnout data here in HD4 (Northwest Denver).  Voting early really was pushed as evidenced by the trickle of voters I saw in the precinct voting location I was watching.  For all of HD4 59% (15997) of the 26952 votes were done by mail.  Another 19.5% (5268) were early votes.  And only 17.8% (4818) were election day cast ballots.  That's doesn't totally add up to 100% as another 3.2% of votes (869) were provisional ballots.  Some were due to people going to the wrong precinct (Denver keeps changing this around), those who requested a mail in ballot but never received it. I'd witnessed and heard other reports that election judges were all too quick to hand someone a provisional ballot when a few extra minutes of checking could have sorted out the problem.  I've seen too many articles in the paper talking about how smooth voting went.  Sure, compared to 2006.  But, let's not dust off our hands and say mission accomplished.  After all, how many who didn't receive their ballot, simply gave up and didn't vote?  Yes, those who show up get to decide what kind of democracy we have, but unlike a certain outgoing secretary of state, we should be making the process easier for people, not harder.

Anyway, after receiving that data, I took a look at final results in the most populated counties, since Coffman's office still doesn't have all the data up.  I'm sure part of the problem is all the counties haven't certified their data yet.  Boulder county's website still lists theirs as not yet final.

Voter turnout by county
county2008 %2004 %
Denver8379.6
Jefferson94.589.6
Adams90.689.9
Arapahoe92.692.6
El Paso90.989.8
Boulder92.391.6
Larimer91.594.5
Douglas95.596.4

Interesting that Larimer and Douglas had lower turnout this year.  And while Denver has improved, we still have a way to go.  These numbers don't tell us everything however.  So, let's look at voter registration efforts.

county2008 voters% change
Denver3124452.5
Jefferson3091341.5
Adams17720313.7
Arapahoe28736311.8
El Paso30040110
Boulder1860555.2
Larimer18171514.3
Douglas15902920.7

Or at I'm trying to look at voter registration.  The last column is increase in active registered voters over 2004.  Some of this is going to be population change as new houses are built. And, some is going to be the result of increases interest in the election combined with targeted voter registration efforts.  But, Larimer and Douglas county increased their number of active registered voters by a lot, but turnout was down a bit. Weird.

johne :: Data, data, data, voting turnout data
Now, let's take a look at the ballot measures.  For reference:
46 - A yes vote takes away affirmative action
47 - Guts the Colorado Labor Peace Act (right to work)
48 - eggmendment
49 - A yes vote bans automatic union due deductions from pay for government employees
54 - Bans political contributions by union members and their family members

Denver
AmendmentYES%NO%under vote
46406024853
47336719854
48168410240
49316918440
54435733656

JeffCo
AmendmentYES%NO%under vote
46484518107
47435212092
48247211338
49385616883
54494419410

Adams
AmendmentYES%NO%under vote
46495110032
4737635319
4827736054
4934668001
54495110376

Arapahoe
AmendmentYES%NO%under vote
46514916326
47455511394
48267410689
49415916037
54514919251

El Paso
AmendmentYES%NO%under vote
46564417078
4750.449.511800
4838629866
49455515586
54564419281

Boulder
AmendmentYES%NO%under vote
46406013346
47406011952
4815856934
49346616088
54465417591

Larimer
AmendmentYES%NO%under vote
46495011196
4746538181
4826745592
49415911223
54534714151

Douglas
AmendmentYES%NO%under vote
4659418842
4757436028
4832684883
4950.449.59462
54613911036

So, the usual areas voted against or for unions (47, 49, 54) and minorities (46).  It's ironic that one of the whitest areas of the state, Douglas county, voted at 59% to get rid of affirmative action.  I'm also surprised how well the more moderate counties voted down 47 and 49. But, 46 had almost the highest number of undervotes.  That many people skipped it, either not knowing what it was, or not liking the language so skipped it for that reason.  As expected, 54 had the highest under votes as it was buried between a number of measures still on the ballot but not to be counted. And the one with the lowest under vote?  48.  People knew what it was, and resoundingly said, not no, but hell no!

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a question... (0.00 / 0)
thanks for posting this -- very interesting to read. on the voter turnout by county, is that among all registered voters, or just active voters? one more -- do you have stats comparing turnout among fist-time voters -- 2008 v 2004 for those counties?

thoughts on decisions made by people who don't empathize with my reality

Oops (0.00 / 0)
I was going to specify that's among registered active voters.  I could probably grab voters like that.  Only voted in 08 general and maybe registered in the past year. But compared to what?  Those registree in the last year who didn't vote?

revolution from within

[ Parent ]
new registered stats (0.00 / 0)
new registered in '08 who voted vs new registered in '04 who voted -- see if there was success in getting new registrants to the polls in 2008, because traditional campaign wisdom says that new registrants need to be "courted" over time with continuous efforts to see a turnout at the polls; that registration doesn't equal turnout

thoughts on decisions made by people who don't empathize with my reality

[ Parent ]
54 dropoff (0.00 / 0)
I predicted it would be huge because it was sandwiched between the canceled amendments. Looks like that was only true in Denver, which I have to think has to do with ballot design. I didn't see the other counties' ballots. Did they have a big "WITHDRAWN" stamped across the withdrawn ones like Denver, or did people in the other counties just vote for them not realizing they were withdrawn?

ballot (0.00 / 0)
Denver did not cross through the withdrawn ones.

revolution from within

[ Parent ]
Mine did (0.00 / 0)
Had a big WITHDRAWN overprinted diagonally across the withdrawn ones.

[ Parent ]
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