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Cowardly Democrats & Climate

by: WeatherDem

Sun Jul 25, 2010 at 16:54:55 PM MST


If you follow this policy topic, by no doubt you've already heard or read somewhere that elected Democrats have decided not to even try to put together a climate and energy bill in 2010.  I don't know when they think they'll take it up.  I don't think they know when they'll take it up.  What I do know right now is outside of Nancy Pelosi, a number of Democratic "leaders" have done anything but lead and should be voted out of office (or positions of responsibility) as soon as possible.  Sen. Reid. Sen. Schumer and Sen. Durbin are on that list.  President Obama very well could be.
WeatherDem :: Cowardly Democrats & Climate
The "leadership" has bungled issue after issue in my opinion, allowing extremist elements of the opposing party to dictate the rate of progress and what gets done and what doesn't get done.  Senate rules were not changed back in January 2009, despite assurances from the Cons after the 2008 election that they would not help Democrats at all on any issue whatsoever.  The Cons delivered on their promises.  The Democrats did not.  The quest for the mythical "bipartisanship chalice" has continued and was even intensified by Barack Obama, who still hasn't figured out that all the opposition party wants to do is delegitimize his Presidency.  Incrementalism was the methodology pursued by these "leaders".  It remains an open question whether such a timid strategy keeps the base motivated to keep turning out for the party come election time.  Americans aren't upset that Democrats haven't tried to work enough with Cons on issues.  Americans are upset that the Democrats keep refusing to aggressively bring issues up and force the Cons to take whatever ridiculous stand they want.  Americans want to know that the people they elected to push their agenda for them will do just that.  Without that push, Americans are wondering why they put those Dems in office.

I have spent the past 18 months helping fellow Democrats push on our elected members to enact mainstream legislation on a number of issues, despite the fact that my #1 issue kept getting pushed aside.  At times I wondered if I felt the setbacks and defeats more than my fellows did because as they occurred, I grew anxious that the same failed strategies would be applied to my primary issue and I wouldn't get as much done on it as I wanted and as the world needed.  The issues mounted; the same strategies kept failing; weeks slipped by, then the House passed a climate and energy bill.  It wasn't all that I wanted, but it was cited by other climate activists as a good step in the right direction.  I didn't think so at the time, but mainly kept my opinion to myself.

Then months started slipping by.  Meanwhile, extreme events and increasingly dire climate research results occurred steadily.  The climate wasn't waiting to see how Congressional Dems would put legislation together.  It wasn't waiting for a President to decide whether he would help convince Americans to convince their Senators to act sooner rather than later.  It wasn't waiting while aides, staff and handlers decided that other issues were more important or that they weren't confident they could fight back against the Cons' pathetic "cap-and-tax" language.  The climate was continuing to respond to the greenhouse forcing of past decades.  That response continues to surprise even climate experts in its speed and magnitude.  Climate changes are taking effect faster and in more complex ways than was thought just a few short years ago.

As the rapidity and breadth of those changes have appeared, I have become increasingly convinced that action must be taken today.  Climate change is very different from health care or Wall St. or immigration in that, if we want a society and a civilization in which health care and immigration even matter, it needs immediate attention.  If a society's (civilization's) agriculture system collapses because there is a decade of 100F summers with no rain across the land, how much will it matter if single-payer is enacted in this Congress or the next?  As the oceans acidify enough to kill innumerable species and trigger the collapse of global ecosystems, how much will people notice whether an oversight group is set up within or outside of a federal agency?  I don't think other issues are trivial; I only think most people's attention is focused on things they think are closer to their daily lives.  As rapid as the climate is changing, it is in many ways too slow to trigger a sense of anxiety or controlled panic in enough of our populace to matter, it seems.

So here we are.  It's late July 2010 and Democrats have announced that the required aggressive climate and energy bill won't be considered in the Senate this year.  Instead, they might consider the following:

It [a much smaller bill] will deal with BP and oil spill liability, invest in the  manufacturing of natural gas vehicles, create a jobs program -- formerly  called Cash for Caulkers, now called Home Star -- aimed at increasing  home efficiency, and put money back in the Land and Water Conservation  Fund.

BP and oil disaster liability should be considered by itself.  Let the Cons and CorporateDems fight against it - see what kind of response they get at the ballot box in November.  Natural gas vehicles?  How incredibly insulting is that?!  It will take decades to fully deploy natural gas vehicles and the infrastructure necessary to support them; decades that the climate will continue to refuse to wait for us.  And how exciting is a jobs program?  Not so much when you learn that China is considering putting $738 billion of additional spending towards clean energy projects.  All of a sudden, the Senate Democrats' scale of timidity is more visible.  Finally, money back in the Land and Water Conservation Fund.  Whoopty-doo.  House Democrats actually voted on a bill last year.  For that, some of them are facing aggressive campaigns by Cons eager to keep us addicted to dirty energy while the climate system spirals out of control.  How many Senators will ensure those threatened House Democrats keep their seats so another bill can be considered in the next session?

The largest problem progressive activists face isn't immoral Cons in the Senate.  It isn't the Cons' propaganda outlet Fox or any of the white noise right-wing radio shows.  It isn't cowardly and bought-off ConservaDems in Congress.  It isn't the Corporate hacks acting as Obama's advisors.  No, the largest problem we face is the status quo.  It isn't about how hard it is to turn a moving ship; it's about the will-power to turn that ship in the first place.  I will not support the status quo.  Continually picking the lesser of two evils is going to destroy our society, our civilization and the climate our species grew up with.  "Vote for a Democrat, because they're better than the alternative" is a hollow argument.  It might represent some kind of political reality, but it completely ignores physical reality.  That physical reality can only be ignored for so long before it forces everybody to pay attention.  I think we've used up what little time we had.

Some folks are convinced that EPA regulations will solve a bunch of problems.  Some folks think the Congress will have to act next year in the face of those EPA rules.  I have to admit I view such attitudes as naive.  The current group of Cons will not play nicely.  They will not agree to legislation next year when there is more of them in both Congressional chambers.  They will continue to delegitimize the climate crisis and the EPA.  Federal action on this issue is what is needed.  If it couldn't get done with a Democratic White House and Congress after 8 years of the Bush Regime, I'm not sure what will get it done.

I will have more in the future on the scale of the problem we face and discuss why the status quo isn't acceptable; why incrementalism isn't acceptable; and what I think is required to act on this largest of crises.

Cross-posted at WeatherDem - the blog.

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Bonus: Obama Official Blames Enviros
Yes, you read that correctly.

After botching this issue harder than any other so far, an administration official tried to hang all the blame on environmental groups, who somehow couldn't deliver 60 Senate votes single-handily.

The cowardice and ineptitude are galling.  This isn't the way to get the base to work for Dems this cycle, Mr. Administration Official.  But perhaps you'd rather it be that way.


Politico Is Not an Accurate Source of News
Though founded by some experienced reporters, your source of the Administration leak is Politico.com, which has moved to the level of Druge.  Perhaps it is accurate, perhaps the source is a summer intern. Politco's agenda is to stir up controversy and gain eyeballs so that the publisher can meet the investor ROI hurdles.

Having said that, may I offer support and share your frustration.  Because of the way the US Senate is organized, a minority can and has blocked legislation for the better of the whole.  The Republican senators have taken an anti-American stand and opposed all legislation.  It's unfortunate that Democratic Senators chose not to be as destructive to the interests of all their constituents when they were in the minority, but they chose to act in a responsible way when dealing with their opposition.  It is very frustrating.  

Arguing that the lesser of two evils is better may not be an  ideal; but I, for one, would always take either Micheal Bennet or Andrew Romanoff over a Senator Buck or Norton on this matter.


[ Parent ]
Politico
Yes, Politico isn't a paragon of journalistic integrity.  I think some of the material they cover is useful because it gives those of us outside the D.C.-bubble an idea of what's going on inside the D.C.-bubble.

If this is the way anonymous administration officials are thinking, or if they are using Politico as a sounding board to judge how comments are received, then it has its uses, marginal though they may be.

I had a hard time swallowing the "lesser of two evils" rationale from 2004-2008.  It was one thing when the Bush Regime was wrecking the country.  It is another thing when it's so-called Democrats.  Among the few bright points I see is the incredible work done in the House of Representatives, even with the CorporateDems and ConservaDems.  Some truly bright stars have started to shine in recent years.  I think it's those stars (including my district's Jared Polis) that deserve and need our continued support.  A progressive bloc that wields real power is still in its infancy.  If it can be nurtured and grown, these fights become a little more winnable in the future.

It's the Senate that I view as a problem.  I've had similar conversations with many Democrats, but I still haven't been convinced that Bennet, Romanoff or any other Dem is always better than Buck or Norton or any other Con.


[ Parent ]
There is one candidate...
There is one candidate for U.S. Senate here who is ready to lead. Andrew Romanoff put out a statement on Friday about this. Not to miss the chance to chase Romanoff, Bennet held a press event today (closed to the public) to call on Congress to act - maybe somebody should tell him he is part of that Congress that isn't acting and him writing another letter isn't going to cut it. Just one more example of Bennet following Romanoff - last week he boldly announced that he was sponsoring the Fair Elections Now Act - though he did it 16 months after the bill was introduced, an hour after Romanoff called on him to do it and $1.3million in special interest money later.

Romanoff's statement from Friday:

U.S Senate candidate Andrew Romanoff issued the following statement today upon the Senate Democrats' decision not to pursue climate-change legislation this year:

One of the worst disasters in American history has left our nation heartbroken and angry. In the U.S. Senate, however, it's business as usual. Yesterday we received word that the United States Senate shot down a proposal that would put caps on carbon emissions.

It's been three months since an explosion on the Deepwater Horizon sent millions of gallons of oil into the Gulf of Mexico. And it's been more than a year since the House of Representatives passed a bill to move the United States in a different direction: to reduce our reliance on fossil fuel and accelerate our transition to renewable energy.

The Senate shot down a proposal to invest in energy efficiency and energy conversation. I will take up that cause -- and make climate change legislation a top priority -- in January 2011.

Get involved. Donate, make calls, walk your neighborhood, spread the word! We can take our Senate back from the Corporatists and take our seat back from the appointed Bankster! http://www.andrewromanoff.com


Excellent diary
There is no point in getting excited about longer-term policy decisions like HCR if we don't have a planet that can sustain human life. It's not like the signs and the science haven't been there. Our leaders aren't leaders at all and the system is rigged to discourage (to put it gently) real innovation. It's sad but is it surprising that we have what we have? No.

What do you think the longer-term effects of the oil spill will have on aggravating global warming? From what you know, do you think it is enough to produce any sort of spike in warming effects? I know animals will die and coastlines will be toxic but will the gasses in and darker coloring of the water noticeably exacerbate warming in the next few years?

Do we even really know how much oil gushed?  


Too much short-sightedness for sure.
At this point, I don't think the oil disaster will aggravate global warming.  It's darker than water, true, but it also blocks sunlight from penetrating into the water column.  I haven't seen a difference in Gulf of Mexico or Atlantic sea-surface temperatures as a result of the oil disaster.  In contrast, after Alex and the following tropical wave passed over the Yucatan Peninsula, a clear cooling signal was detected in both the Caribbean and the Gulf.

I think the oil disaster will, as you point out, aggravate the Gulf Dead Zone.  As bacteria break the oil down, a lot of oxygen is being used up - oxygen that other animals then cannot use.

Of more concern this year to me is the rapid rate at which the Arctic sea ice pack has melted.  I dread finding out how much mass Greenland has lost in the past couple of years too.  Those areas have been subjected to the fastest warming and are responding before a lot of other components.


[ Parent ]
There Is Additional Concern About Releasing Methane
In addition to the melting of arctic ice, thawing permafrost has been seen to release great quantities of methane into the atmosphere. This is but one of a body of work on the matter.  There is a lot of methane entrapped in the oceans and the ice; no one really knows what the end result will be with its release; but no one who studies the matter thinks it will be beneficial.  

[ Parent ]
Measuring Flow Rate Is Not Simple
It is very difficult to estimate flow of a fluid when you do not know the geometry of the orifaces though which the fluid flows and the pressure up and down stream.  The pressure downstream was known, but not upstream within the pipe. And, the dimensions of the outlets were not known because of the breaks in the pipes.  In addition, the presence of freezing natural gas complicated the estimates as their concentration was unknown.  That is why the estimates of flow had so much uncertainty or variation (1000 bpd, 5,000 bpd, 20,000 bpd, 100,000 bpd).  Now that the pipe has been cut and a cap put on top, some more precise estimates can be and have been made. A very good source for this and other technical matters is The Oil Drum blog.

As to the question  about warming effects, the primary effect, I believe, comes from the natural gas (methane) released.  A lot of that will be absorbed by the sea water. (If you ask anyone in the oil and gas industry what happens if their gas well is flooded with salt water, something which some times happens, you will find that the gas is gone.)  Some may escape into the atmosphere where it will become a greenhouse gas.  Eventually, it is possible the that the sea will become saturated and more greenhouse gases could be released to the atmosphere, but none of us would be here to withness it.  


[ Parent ]
Overall, I Agree; but...
Like so many issues, even those of intense national survival, Americans have not accepted this as fact.  Changing an economy in such a dramatic way is not an easy matter, as I am sure you know. Petroleum is the source of transportation because it is far easier to use than any other substance. There can be solutions, such as that proposed by Shai Aggasi, but even his not inelegant proposal carries risks in the short term.  

Our infrastructure can be changed, as is being done in some parts of Europe and beginning in China; but it takes a lot of capital and commitment.   This becomes even more difficult when a substantial number disagree with the basic premise.  

For example, note that alternative electrical energy sources such as wind or solar carry a higher cost of capital than coal, oil or natural gas. The financial markets charge this higher premium, in part, because the alternative sources do not have a high capacity history of 40 year production operations as does fossil.  This higher cost keeps alternatives from being competitive with fossil fuels even in an environment of historic fossil prices.

Americans are very loath to support higher energy costs and to give up their comfortable personal transportation machines.  If you doubt this, consider the use of the 55 MPH speed limit as a winning Republican issue beginning in 1980.  Or consider the popularity of $40,000, 12 mpg Hummers in the recent past.

I don't think you should blame the Obama Administration for this.  I think those of us who agree with you about warming should work harder to convince the American people of both the existence and urgency of addressing the matter.  Our success has been limited thus far.  We have much to do.


Back at ya'
I agree with where you're coming from and most of what you've written here.

I think more Americans have accepted the threat of climate change than are given credit.  Do they understand the details or could they discuss differences between potential solutions?  Of course not - but mostly because that level of the problem has remained obscured.  For that matter, people are also unfamiliar with other policies that have received far more media attention in the past 18 months.

And that's the point at which I include the Obama Administration in my rant - they at least have the capacity to set the pace and tone of issues.  Even Obama himself has been pretty generic and vanilla in talking to the American people about this problem, despite the near-perfect conditions to push hard on the issue and start the process of enacting the substantial change you correctly remind us of.

As the frustration that led to this rant fades, the only viable solution is to work even harder on this.  Giving up is clearly not an option.  Onwards to more and bigger successes!


[ Parent ]
Yes, Greed and Cowardice
Or look at the politicians who have been most vociferously opposed to climate action. Where do they get much of their campaign money? You already know the answer.

By itself, however, greed wouldn't have triumphed. It needed the aid of cowardice - above all, the cowardice of politicians who know how big a threat global warming poses, who supported action in the past, but who deserted their posts at the crucial moment.

There are a number of such climate cowards, but let me single out one in particular: Senator John McCain.



[ Parent ]
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