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Globe's Oceans At Risk Of Mass Extinction

by: WeatherDem

Tue Jun 21, 2011 at 15:53:31 PM MST


( - promoted by Fong)

To many who have paid attention to the developing climate change crisis, the news that a mass extinction could occur in the world's oceans shouldn't come as too much of a surprise.  Climate change isn't just about higher surface temperatures and slightly different precipitation patterns.  No, a set of issues are currently unfolding.  That set is getting more complex and more pertinent to our daily lives.  A preliminary report, issued by the International Programme on the State of the Ocean (IPSO), begins to detail just how dangerous our actions are to the oceans.  Among other things, the report's findings are of critical importance because the panel found that ocean degeneration is already occurring at a much faster rate than has been previously projected.
"The findings are shocking," Dr. Alex Rogers, IPSO's scientific director, said in a statement released by the group. "This is a very serious situation demanding unequivocal action at every level. We are looking at consequences for humankind that will impact in our lifetime, and worse, our children's and generations beyond that."
WeatherDem :: Globe's Oceans At Risk Of Mass Extinction
Indeed, recent research shows that the ocean's temperature won't recover to pre-Industrial Age levels for thousands of years.  The same thing goes for acidification and sea level rise.  If a mass extinction occurs, sea life won't recover for hundreds of thousands to millions of years.  Since a majority of the world's population is dependent on sea life for their daily sustenance, a mass extinction would have enormous ramifications for our species for longer than we've been a species.

So, what's the problem?  Or better yet, what are the problems?  An increase of both hypoxia (low oxygen) and anoxia (lack of oxygen that creates "dead zones") in the oceans, warming, and acidification are the causal factors of previous mass extinctions.  Guess what's going on today?  Record-sized dead zones are occurring across the planet; the oceans have warmed and will continue to do so for at least hundreds of years; and the oceans are acidifying.  Both the warming and acidification are likely occurring at rates that are multiple times faster than what occurred naturally in the geologic past.

What needs to be done?

The IPSO report calls for such changes, recommending actions in key areas: immediate reduction of CO2 emissions, coordinated efforts to restore marine ecosystems, and universal implementation of the precautionary principle so "activities proceed only if they are shown not to harm the ocean singly or in combination with other activities." The panel also calls for the UN to swiftly introduce an "effective governance of the High Seas."

We hold the fate of global ecosystems in our hands.  It is solely up to the decisions of our species whether mass extinctions occur and the planet becomes uninhabitable by modern societies.  Will this report join the growing body that have been largely ignored in the past? This report has received more attention in the corporate media than most reports of similar importance.  That's a good thing.  But it means little if policy makers continue to drag their feet while enjoying their access to power.  That such a frivolous thing could spell the end of today's ecosystems...

Cross-posted at WeatherDem - the blog.

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You say warming will continue for hundreds of years
and I know I always ask questions with complicated answers but is a main cause for "hundreds of years" the fact that there is so much pollution?

And in your opinion, what do you think is the best method of carbon sequestration?  


I like questions with complicated answers
The main cause for "hundreds of years" is the inertia contained in the climate system - most notably the oceans.  The warming we're seeing today is mostly due to conditions that existed 30+ or 50+ years ago.  Those conditions included atmospheric CO2 concentrations and the resultant energy imbalance, among others.  Surface ocean waters today were last on the surface decades ago.  The thermal energy they absorbed back then (from the sun) is now present again at the surface.  The presence of that thermal energy (greater today than back then) at the ocean surface affects heat and water transfer to the atmosphere, which in turn affects global wind patterns.

One of the scariest facts that nearly nobody realizes is even if we could magically halt every ton of CO2 from entering the atmosphere today, it would take decades to a couple hundred years for the ocean to scrub most of the atmosphere's CO2 out - which would only continue to acidify the oceans.  The presence of higher CO2 concentrations over the next set of decades would continue to maintain an energy imbalance.  The oceans would continue to absorb that heat, transport it to the deep ocean and bring most of it back to the surface in a hundred years or so.  We're jolting the climate system very quickly, but since it is so large and complex, it will take a long time for it to fully respond.

The best method of carbon sequestration is the natural process: absorption into the ocean.  We simply can't match the scale of 70% of the Earth's surface performing that process.  I've seen some interesting technologies being introduced on a conceptual and very small trial scale.  I don't think most of them would work (for various reasons).  For those that could work, they would have to be scaled up to a level that is likely beyond any other set of infrastructure our species has yet built - including transportation, energy or even commerce.  It's the scale of the problem that presents the largest hurdle.

Instead, the solution has to include stopping the pollution first, then addressing the sequestration problem.  Perhaps there are ways that we can assist or boost natural processes.  But at this point in time, I honestly believe this is a problem that we'll face for tens of generations.

I hope that answers your questions.  If that's confusing, please let me know and I'll be happy to go into even more detail.  ;)

I "rediscovered" some useful graphs that help explain a lot of this.  I plan on using them in upcoming diaries.  Hopefully they'll help communicate things in useful ways.


[ Parent ]
No that's great. Thank you.
I figured there was no sequestration technology that wouldn't end up exacerbating the problem. So basically, the best thing we have to rely on now is giant algae blooms? Boy, if that's the case, collective humanity is in for a hellish century. Who needs religion when you have reality to scare the shit out of you?  

[ Parent ]
I think the Germans
or some other European country has the only utility-scale carbon sequestration technology implemented today.  It hasn't been active for very long, so there's no definitive conclusions to be drawn from it.

Who knows, maybe somebody will put something together in the next hundred years that works beyond today's wildest dreams.


[ Parent ]
yeah maybe the plastic island
will grow a consciousness of its own and feed upon CO2, causing it to shit oil back into the cracks from whence it came. It's only demand is that people learn to live with their new God.  

[ Parent ]
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